Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
47.39% | 24.41% | 28.2% |
Both teams to score 56.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% | 45.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% | 68.2% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% | 19.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.69% | 51.31% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.11% | 29.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.01% | 65.99% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.07% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |