Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.