Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.