Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
Result | ||
Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
57.49% ( 0.69) | 20.75% ( -0.45) | 21.76% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 62.24% ( 1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% ( 1.85) | 35.11% ( -1.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% ( 2.03) | 57.11% ( -2.04) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% ( 0.79) | 12.13% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% ( 1.66) | 37.72% ( -1.66) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( 0.84) | 29.16% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( 1.02) | 65.09% ( -1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Colorado Rapids | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 21.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |