Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.