Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
74.42% ( -0.19) | 15.45% ( 0.1) | 10.13% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.08% ( -0.27) | 33.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.31) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.27% ( -0.1) | 7.74% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.47% ( -0.26) | 27.53% ( 0.26) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.04) | 43.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( -0.03) | 79.32% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Toronto |
2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 74.42% | 1-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.45% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |