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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Minnesota United

Dallas
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd


Farfan (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (48')
Trapp (24'), Tapias (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Dallas
Monday, October 24 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

Dallas come into Sunday's opener as favourites due to their excellent 2022 season and Minnesota's dreadful form at the end of last season. The visitors being without their main attacking threat means that Dallas will be very confident of kicking off their season with three points. Ferreira and Arriola will surely be too much for a Reynoso-less Minnesota to cope with.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
59.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 18.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)47.29% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.073 0.07)69.52% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02)15.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.58% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44% (0.089000000000006 0.09)39.56% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75% (0.081 0.08)76.24% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 59.24%
    Minnesota United 18.4%
    Draw 22.36%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.4%

How you voted: Dallas vs Minnesota Utd

Dallas
Draw
Minnesota United
Dallas
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Minnesota United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 2.30am
First Round
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties
Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
Reynoso (53')
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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