Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
2 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 2 | 42 |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 0 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 1 | 44 |
3 | Portland Timbers | 30 | 2 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
54.64% ( 0.16) | 22.59% ( 0.01) | 22.77% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( -0.25) | 42.52% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -0.25) | 64.93% ( 0.25) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% ( -0.03) | 15.49% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.62% ( -0.06) | 44.38% ( 0.06) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( -0.28) | 32.43% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( -0.32) | 68.96% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |