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Major League Soccer
Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
National Sports Center
Vancouver Whitecaps

Minnesota Utd
2 - 0
Vancouver

Fragapane (17'), Gonzalez (77')
Trapp (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gauld (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Austin
Sunday, October 2 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

 Despite their recent form, we expect Minnesota United to just about get over the line and make the playoffs, although it will be with a draw. Vancouver Whitecaps have not won away from home since June, and it will be too much of an ask for them to end this run in such a crucial game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
53.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.02% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.23% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.93% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.31% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19%32.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63%69.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 53.75%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 23.23%
    Draw 23.02%
Minnesota UnitedDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Vancouver

Minnesota United
10.0%
Draw
50.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 3.30am
Vancouver
1-3
Minnesota Utd
Cavallini (66')
Hlongwane (71'), Amarilla (84'), Fragapane (88')
Lod (24')
Oct 28, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Boxall (45' og.), White (63')
Jungwirth (38'), Brown (83')
Adi (90+1')
Dotson (84'), Reynoso (90')
Aug 1, 2021 3am
Vancouver
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Dajome (36', 90+4' pen.)
Baldisimo (34'), Ricketts (86'), Bikel (87')
Finlay (45'), Lod (75')
Metanire (45+2'), Taylor (48'), Trapp (55')
May 13, 2021 2am
Minnesota Utd
1-0
Vancouver
Abila (72')
Boxall (29'), Abila (74'), Alonso (90+4')

Gaspar (31'), Alexandre (58'), Cornelius (76')
Sep 14, 2020 2am
Vancouver
P-P
Minnesota Utd
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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