MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:12:54| >> :60:354:354:
FC Dallas
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 2.30am UK
Pizza Hut Park
Minnesota United

Dallas
1 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Quignon (64')
Arriola (72')
FT
(aet)
Reynoso (53')
Fragapane (73'), Taylor (105+1')
Dallas win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Vancouver
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Dallas 2-0 Minnesota United

All season long, Dallas' defence has been among the most impenetrable, and going up against a Minnesota team who have scored the fewest goals among the Western Conference playoff sides, we expect the Toros backline will remain firm. An upset is certainly possible, but we believe that all 11 Loons players will need to play at an elite level for that to happen, and there are too many inconsistencies with this group to suggest they can beat a side who have been so well-organised and compact all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.88%).

Result
DallasDrawMinnesota United
57.46% (0.689 0.69) 22.71% (-0.13 -0.13) 19.83% (-0.558 -0.56)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (-0.178 -0.18)46.71% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (-0.167 -0.17)68.97% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.173 0.17)15.99% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.316 0.32)45.31% (-0.316 -0.32)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (-0.681 -0.68)37.64% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (-0.672 -0.67)74.42% (0.67400000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 57.45%
    Minnesota United 19.83%
    Draw 22.71%
DallasDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
72.4%
Draw
17.2%
TBC
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-3
Dallas

Fragapane (20'), Arriaga (80')
Fragapane (69')
Boxall (55' og.), Velasco (56'), Ferreira (58')
Arriola (4'), Farfan (15')
May 23, 2022 12am
Dallas
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Arriola (59')
Twumasi (40')
Lod (20'), Taylor (55')
Boxall (31'), Arriaga (33'), Fragapane (33'), Reynoso (78'), St Clair (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 1am
Jun 20, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
1-1
Minnesota Utd
Pepi (68')
Pepi (84'), Jara (89')
Fragapane (36')
Dibassy (2'), Gasper (67'), Boxall (89')
May 16, 2021 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-0
Dallas
Lod (90+4')
Trapp (67')

Ricaurte (10'), Jara (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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