Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for DC United had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New England Revolution in this match.