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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
4 - 1
Orlando City

Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kara (71')
Carlos (59'), Urso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-0 Orlando City

The marquee players on Miami are finally coming to the forefront, namely Higuain, who is currently in the best form of his Major League Soccer career. Orlando are missing a quality attacker who can make that difference, and they appear to be damaged psychologically of late, which is a bad sign this late into the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
39.52% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.97% (0.093 0.09) 34.51% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.391 -0.39)50.23% (0.392 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.347 -0.35)72.19% (0.348 0.35)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.285 -0.28)25% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (-0.394 -0.39)59.65% (0.395 0.4)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.125 -0.13)27.85% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.161 -0.16)63.45% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 39.52%
    Orlando City 34.51%
    Draw 25.96%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.51%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Orlando City

Inter Miami
Draw
Orlando City
Inter Miami
61.9%
Draw
14.3%
Orlando City
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
Aug 5, 2021 1am
Jun 26, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
Oct 24, 2020 8.30pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Orlando City
Jansson (45' og.), Gonzalez Pirez (89')
Gonzalez Pirez (7'), Pizarro (23'), Reyes (79'), Agudelo (90+4'), McCarthy (90+6')
Dike (12')
Urso (62'), Ruan (86'), Nani (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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