Inter Miami3 - 1Toronto
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
Miami have proven they can win without Messi, despite what we saw in their previous encounter, and they should be able to expose a Toronto backline that have rarely looked organised or compact this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.28%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
58.28% ( 1.5) | 20.59% ( -0.54) | 21.12% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( 1.29) | 35.22% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.76% ( 1.42) | 57.23% ( -1.42) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( 0.84) | 11.95% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.67% ( 1.76) | 37.33% ( -1.76) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.11) | 29.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.15% ( -0.14) | 65.85% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.54% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.12% |
