Major League Soccer

Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Uhre (3')
Bedoya (34'), Wagner (64'), Flach (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gressel (47'), Afonso (90+4')
Ruiz (32'), Aviles (66'), Campana (82'), Alba (83')
Ruiz (69'), Aviles (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Montreal
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami

Even if the Miami superstars are unavailable, the other players on this squad have stepped up all season when called upon, and we believe they will do so this weekend. The Union are playing well but struggling to find that little bit extra, which can make the difference between one point and three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
54.86% ( -0.09)	21.31% ( 0.18)	23.83% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 63.06% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.71% (

-1.03)

35.29% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.69% (

-1.15)

57.31% (

1.14)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0.37)

12.95% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

-0.75)

39.42% (

0.75)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.64)

27.56% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.83)

63.08% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 54.86%

Inter Miami 23.83%

Draw 21.31%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.86%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.83%