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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
59.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.123 -0.12)42.94% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.122 -0.12)65.34% (0.123 0.12)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.148 -0.15)36.35% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.149 -0.15)73.13% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 59.44%
    Toronto 18.99%
    Draw 21.56%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
Draw
Toronto
Inter Miami
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Toronto
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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