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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 0
Toronto

Farias (45+3'), Taylor (54', 87'), Cremaschi (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 5-2 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 16 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto

The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta. Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
59.44% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.57% (0.0039999999999978 0) 18.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.123 -0.12)42.94% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.122 -0.12)65.34% (0.123 0.12)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.08% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.148 -0.15)36.35% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.149 -0.15)73.13% (0.14999999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 59.44%
    Toronto 18.99%
    Draw 21.56%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.03% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.99%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Toronto
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami
Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198469452465
2Columbus Crew30169560332757
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175953411256
4Orlando City31137115346746
5New York City FCNY City31128114844444
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474844444
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113734342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101258481037
9CF MontrealMontreal31910124461-1737
10Toronto32114173956-1737
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134145-434
12DC United31810134663-1734
13Nashville SCNashville3189143147-1633
14New England RevolutionNew England3094173360-2731
15Chicago Fire3279163755-1830

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410762471552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157854411352
4Seattle SoundersSeattle31148946341250
5Colorado RapidsColorado31155115853550
6Houston DynamoHouston3113994334948
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver3013895041947
8Portland TimbersPortland311291064541045
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31136125348545
10Dallas31107145052-237
11Austin FCAustin3199133444-1036
12St Louis City31713114658-1234
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3287175061-1131
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3153233772-3518


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