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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Toronto FC

Atlanta
2 - 1
Toronto

Almada (45+2'), Thiare (90+8')
Fortune (48'), Rode Gregersen (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bernardeschi (46')
Long (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-0 Toronto

With many of their experienced players on international duty, Toronto have been particularly vulnerable on the back end, and we believe the Five Stripes will take advantage of that this weekend and remain unbeaten under Valentino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
62.41% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.04%17.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.012 -0.01)38.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.012 -0.01)60.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.24% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)11.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)36.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (-0.012 -0.01)35.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.92% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 62.41%
    Toronto 17.55%
    Draw 20.04%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 62.41%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.55%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United
Draw
Toronto
Atlanta United
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Toronto
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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