Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 0
Vancouver

Olivera (18', 36'), Bogusz (57')
Bogusz (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

White (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

These teams like to push the pace and are particularly strong in transition, and they each possess potent finishers, so we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times. Both of them, however, have often let their opponents back into matches, which is why we project an entertaining affair in which they will share the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 57.24%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
57.24% ( -0.01)	21.18% ( 0)	21.58% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.54%

37.45% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.32%

59.68% (

-0)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0)

12.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56% (

-0)

39.44% (

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

30.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

0.01)

66.9% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 57.24%

Vancouver Whitecaps 21.58%

Draw 21.18%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.68% 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.86% Total : 57.24%	1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.18%	1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.81% Total : 21.58%