Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.