Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2022 at 3.30am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
1 - 3
Minnesota Utd

Cavallini (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hlongwane (71'), Amarilla (84'), Fragapane (88')
Lod (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Minnesota United

With very little separating the two teams in the league table, this will no doubt be a closely fought encounter between them on Saturday as they both look to gain dominance in the division. Vancouver Whitecaps have the home advantage here though, and they are in stronger form overall as of late, which is something that should lead to them picking up the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Minnesota United
46.53% ( 2.07)	26% ( -0.45)	27.47% ( -1.63)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

0.89)

52.99% (

-0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.75)

74.58% (

-0.76)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

1.36)

22.75% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

1.98)

56.44% (

-1.98)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.84% (

-0.79)

34.16% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

-0.86)

70.85% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 46.52%

Minnesota United 27.47%

Draw 25.99%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.52%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.47%