Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.