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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
New England Revolution

Nashville
3 - 2
New England

McCarty (19'), Surridge (30', 45+3')
Williams (42'), McCarty (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chancalay (49', 71')
Polster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-0 New England Revolution

 The one thing Nashville have always known how to do well is defend, and for as poor as they have been in front of goal, the Boys in Gold have been airtight defensively at home. The Revs have failed to score in three of their five encounters with Nashville, scoring only once in two previous visits to the Music City, and we expect them to have a tough time getting through the home team's backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
54.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.36% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)44.32% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-0.012 -0.01)66.7% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.029 -0.03)70.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 54.75%
    New England Revolution 22.36%
    Draw 22.88%
Nashville SCDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 54.75%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.88%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Nashville vs New England

Nashville SC
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
New England Revolution
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
New England
1-0
Nashville
Bou (52')
> Preview
Aug 5, 2021 12am
Gameweek 22
New England
0-0
Nashville
> Preview
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nashville
2-0
New England
Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')

Jones (57')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 21
Nashville
1-1
New England
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 14
New England
0-0
Nashville
rhs 2.0
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