Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.