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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Bou (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kessler (41' og.), Brenner (73')
Powell (44'), Acosta (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 3-2 FC Cincinnati

 We saw this week how far Cincinnati have come under their new coach, and, at the same time, how far they still have to go to be an elite team in this league, as they still lack structure on the back end, allowing the most goals in the Eastern Conference (30) this season. By no means are the Revs the most rugged defensive unit out there, but we expect their attacking depth collectively will be just a cut above Cincinnati. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
66.24% (-1.046 -1.05) 19.43% (0.524 0.52) 14.33% (0.52 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-1.252 -1.25)41.86% (1.251 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-1.274 -1.27)64.26% (1.271 1.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.639 -0.64)11.77% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04% (-1.385 -1.39)36.96% (1.382 1.38)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)41.43% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.038 -0.04)77.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 66.23%
    FC Cincinnati 14.33%
    Draw 19.43%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
New England
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
New England
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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