Major League Soccer

Jun 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
4 - 4
NY City

Acosta (15'), Brenner (24', 30', 70')
Nwobodo (57'), Cruz (62'), Brenner (90')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Magno (45'), Heber (45+2', 45+7'), Pereira (52')
Haak (31'), Callens (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 New York City FC

While Cincinnati head into Thursday's contest on a high, NYCFC will have been disappointed to lose in the dying embers of their last match against another side competing with them at the top of the table. Nevertheless, the visitors will be motivated by the prospect of returning to the summit with maximum points at the TQL Stadium, and considering their impressive record against Cincinnati, the Boys in Blue will be the strong favourites to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
27.2% ( 1.66)	23.69% ( 0.25)	49.11% ( -1.91)

Both teams to score 58.11% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64% (

0.21)

43.36% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

0.21)

65.76% (

-0.21)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68% (

1.38)

29.31% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

1.66)

65.28% (

-1.66)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21% (

-0.64)

17.79% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5% (

-1.11)

48.5% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 27.2%

New York City FC 49.11%

Draw 23.68%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.71% Total : 49.11%