Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
53.94% | 22.32% | 23.74% |
Both teams to score 59.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.79% | 40.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.42% | 62.58% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% | 14.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% | 43.29% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% | 30.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% | 66.52% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.94% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.52% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-1 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |