We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal
The Union have found their groove, and that is terrible news for the rest of the league as a Philly team oozing with confidence do not have to be at their best to come away with three points.
Le CFM have not made life easy on Philly in their recent meetings, but a slow start away from home versus the Union will not be nearly as easy to recover from as with other MLS clubs.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.