Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Montreal

Carranza (12', 61'), Uhre (36')
Andres Martinez (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (31'), Orri Thorkelsson (76'), Miljevic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal

The Union have found their groove, and that is terrible news for the rest of the league as a Philly team oozing with confidence do not have to be at their best to come away with three points. Le CFM have not made life easy on Philly in their recent meetings, but a slow start away from home versus the Union will not be nearly as easy to recover from as with other MLS clubs.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	CF Montreal
65.24% ( -0)	20.47% ( -0.01)	14.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.12% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

0.08)

46.53% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

0.07)

68.81% (

-0.07)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54% (

0.02)

13.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54% (

0.05)

40.46% (

-0.05)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61% (

0.07)

44.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

0.05)

80.44% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 65.24%

CF Montreal 14.29%

Draw 20.47%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	CF Montreal
2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 65.24%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.47%	0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.29%