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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Montreal Impact

Cincinnati
3 - 0
Montreal

Waterman (2' og.), Acosta (26'), Vazquez (65')
Nwobodo (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 DC United
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 CF Montreal

 Montreal have done well to turn its dismal campaign around however, they have not faced a side as potent as Cincinnati, and we believe they will be knocked back down a peg in this encounter.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
52.33% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.05% (0.203 0.2) 23.62% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.481 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.98% (-0.721 -0.72)48.01% (0.713 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81% (-0.668 -0.67)70.18% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-0.41 -0.41)18.32% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-0.694 -0.69)49.4% (0.683 0.68)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-0.268 -0.27)34.71% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-0.282 -0.28)71.43% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.33%
    CF Montreal 23.62%
    Draw 24.04%
FC CincinnatiDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.33%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Montreal

FC Cincinnati
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
CF Montreal
25.0%
12
Head to Head
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-3
Cincinnati
Waterman (21'), Quioto (45+4', 59' pen.), Choiniere (46')
Waterman (53'), Camacho (86'), Hamdy (90')
Moreno (12', 63'), Barreal (52')
Acosta (83'), Moreno (89')
Apr 2, 2022 9pm
Cincinnati
3-4
Montreal
Vazquez (12'), Johnston (20' og.), Acosta (61' pen.)
Gaddis (24'), Powell (28'), Blackett (90+1'), Acosta (90+4')
Mihailovic (17', 41'), Kamara (45+1'), Torres (67')
Waterman (70'), Breza (88'), Wanyama (90+4')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 27
Cincinnati
0-0
Montreal

Cruz (36'), Matarrita (62'), Acosta (89'), Brenner (90+4')

Maciel (22'), Choiniere (26'), Camacho (68'), Camacho (74')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 17
Montreal
5-4
Cincinnati
Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')
Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')
May 22, 2021 6pm
gameweek 8
Montreal
1-2
Cincinnati
Mihailovic (56')
Mihailovic (35'), Brault-Guillard (43'), Quioto (54'), Wanyama (89')
Locadia (70'), Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy (86')
rhs 2.0
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