Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for DC United had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
68.58% ( 0.34) | 19.01% ( 0.08) | 12.41% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 47.59% ( -1.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% ( -1.41) | 44.44% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% ( -1.38) | 66.81% ( 1.39) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% ( -0.31) | 11.88% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.81% ( -0.67) | 37.19% ( 0.67) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.01% ( -1.58) | 45.99% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.29% ( -1.26) | 81.71% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |