The Herons are struggling to find a spark from anywhere, while the additions of Lassiter and Duke to Montreal seem to have been the missing link for them when it comes to connecting passes from the midfield to the attack.
While neither have played exceptionally well domestically of late, we are giving the home side the edge because they seem to have more depth and creativity, while losing Gregore has made Miami far too easy to get through in the midfield.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for CF Montreal.