Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
54.08% ( -0.34) | 24.75% ( -0) | 21.17% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.69% ( 0.38) | 53.31% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( 0.32) | 74.86% ( -0.33) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.34% ( 0.02) | 19.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.36% ( 0.02) | 51.64% ( -0.03) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% ( 0.58) | 40.03% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( 0.53) | 76.68% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |