Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.