Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
51.27% ( -1.15) | 24.18% ( 0.08) | 24.55% ( 1.07) |
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( 0.67) | 47.67% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( 0.61) | 69.87% ( -0.61) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -0.19) | 18.59% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.12% ( -0.32) | 49.88% ( 0.32) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( 1.3) | 33.71% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( 1.39) | 70.37% ( -1.39) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |