Earthquakes2 - 3LA Galaxy
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose have too many holes defensively to suggest they can contain an attack as potent as the Galaxy for 90 minutes, especially knowing the desperation LA will be playing with because of what they have at stake. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
37.51% ( -0.06) | 22.64% ( 0.04) | 39.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.76% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.21) | 34.01% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.12% ( -0.24) | 55.88% ( 0.24) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.12) | 18.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.2) | 50.24% ( 0.2) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.08) | 17.78% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.14) | 48.49% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.85% |
