Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
37.51% (![]() | 22.64% (![]() | 39.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.99% (![]() | 34.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.12% (![]() | 55.88% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% (![]() | 18.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.76% (![]() | 50.24% (![]() |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.22% (![]() | 17.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.51% (![]() | 48.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
2-1 @ 8.06% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |