Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.