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Major League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2022 at 3am UK
Empire Field
FC Dallas

Vancouver
2 - 1
Dallas

White (71'), Cavallini (90+2' pen.)
Baldisimo (40'), Brown (45'), Cavallini (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arriola (45+3')
Pomykal (52'), Twumasi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Seattle vs. Vancouver
Wednesday, June 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Dallas

Last Six:
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Dallas
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Dallas vs. Vancouver
Sunday, June 19 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Dallas

 Despite a dynamic offensive outburst for the Caps last weekend, they are unlikely to see as much wide-open space against Dallas, who are a lot sharper when it comes to closing you down. Vancouver have taken baby steps in the right direction in recent weeks, but they still have not shown an ability to limit the time and space of their opponents in the middle of the field, which the Toros should be able to take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawDallas
44.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.48% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 30.27% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)49.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)71.44% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)55.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.63% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)66.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 44.25%
    Dallas 30.27%
    Draw 25.47%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawDallas
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.27%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps
15.8%
Draw
15.8%
Dallas
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 3am
Vancouver
1-0
Dallas
White (20')
Gaspar (53'), Cavallini (58')

Hedges (71'), Twumasi (82'), Acosta (90+1')
Jul 5, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Vancouver
Pepi (22'), Veselinovic (90+4' og.)
Obrian (18'), Acosta (67')
Cavallini (30'), Rose (45+2')
Cavallini (45+3'), Alexandre (72'), Metcalfe (90+1'), Nerwinski (90+5')
Sep 27, 2020 2am
Dallas
P-P
Vancouver
Jul 10, 2020 3.30am
Dallas
P-P
Vancouver
May 23, 2020 9pm
Vancouver
P-P
Dallas
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