Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.