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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Portimonense

Moreirense
0 - 1
Portimonense


Conte (66'), Franco (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Boa Morte (87')
Moufi (54'), Fernandes (80')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Portimonense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to move out of the relegation zone, Moreirense play host to Portimonense at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Sunday.

The visitors will head into the game aiming to quickly return to winning ways and move into the Conference League qualification places in the Primeira Liga standings.


Match preview

Moreirense's Lazar Rosic in action on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Moreirense failed to pick up successive wins in all competitions for the first time since July as they played out a thrilling 2-2 draw with Gil Vicente.

Following a drab first half, the game sparked into life in the 49th minute when Yan Santos calmly converted from 12 yards to put the hosts ahead, but after Samuel Lino and Fran Navarro netted in a nine-minute spell to turn the game around, Steven Vitoria came up trumps for the hosts as he scored a dramatic 96th-minute equaliser to force a share of the spoils.

Prior to that, Lito Vidigal's side secured their place in the fifth round of the Taca de Portugal when they claimed a hard-earned 3-2 win over Vitoria de Guimaraes on November 21.

Moreirense have now failed to taste victory in any of their last five league outings, claiming three draws and losing two, while they are winless in all but one of their 12 games this season.

This poor run of results sees Os verdes e brancos sit second but one in the Primeira Liga standings, just one point above rock-bottom Belenenses and one point behind Vizela just outside the drop zone.

Portimonense's Dener celebrates scoring against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Portimonense's string of fine results took a halt last time out when they fell to a humbling 3-0 defeat at the hands of high-flying Porto.

In a one-sided affair at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao, Pedro Sa scored an own goal on the stroke of half time to put the visitors in front heading into the interval before Vitinha and Otavio scored in a five-minute spell to make sure of the result.

Prior to that, Paulo Sergio's men were on a run of three consecutive wins across all competitions, including a 3-0 victory over Penafiel on November 19 which confirmed their place in the next round of the Taca de Portugal.

With 20 points from 13 games, the Portimao-based side are currently seventh on the log, one point behind Estoril Praia in the final Conference League qualification spot.

However, while they will be looking to move into the top five places on the log, they face the stern test of going up against an opposing side who are unbeaten in each of the last six meetings between the teams, claiming four wins and two draws in that time.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Moreirense form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Portimonense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L


Team News

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Moreirense will be without the services of the Brazilian duo of midfielders Pablo Santos and Galego, who have both been sidelined through injuries.

Godfried Frimpong will also play no part in the game after the Portuguese youngster picked up a severe injury in September's game against Santa Clara.

Following his late equaliser against Gil Vicente last time out, veteran defender Steven Vitoria has now scored in two consecutive games and we expect the Canadian international to start at the heart of the defence on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Achraf Lazar remains the only concern on the injury front for Portimonense after the Moroccan full-back sustained an injury in the 2-1 win over Santa Clara on September 17.

Following an uninspiring performance against Porto last time out, where he scored an own goal before coming off at the break, Pedro Sa could return to the bench on Sunday with Luquinha handed his third start of the season.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Kewin; Paulinho, Rosic, Vitoria, Conte; Camara, Pacheco; Walterson, Pires, Yan; Luis

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Pedrao, Willyan, Cande; Fernandes, Carlinhos, Luquinha; Morte, Aponza, Fabricio


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 0-2 Portimonense

Portimonense have enjoyed a decent season so far, and despite their defeat against a significantly stronger Porto side, they head into the game as the more in-form side. We predict they will return to winning ways as they face a floundering Moreirense side, who are yet to hit their stride so far.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Portimonense

Moreirense
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
60.0%
5
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A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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