Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Moreirense0 - 1Portimonense
We said: Moreirense 0-2 Portimonense
Portimonense have enjoyed a decent season so far, and despite their defeat against a significantly stronger Porto side, they head into the game as the more in-form side. We predict they will return to winning ways as they face a floundering Moreirense side, who are yet to hit their stride so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 35.19% | 26.62% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
