Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.