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National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
2 - 0
Hereford

Popoola (27'), Harris (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 3-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 1-2 Hereford
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
50.68% (-3.844 -3.84) 24.61% (1.186 1.19) 24.71% (2.659 2.66)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-2.348 -2.35)49.36% (2.348 2.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-2.152 -2.15)71.41% (2.152 2.15)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-2.352 -2.35)19.48% (2.352 2.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (-3.995 -4)51.35% (3.995 4)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (1.103 1.1)34.49% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (1.156 1.16)71.21% (-1.157 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 50.68%
    Hereford United 24.71%
    Draw 24.61%
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.548 -0.55)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.68 -0.68)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.41 -0.41)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.458 -0.46)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.59 0.59)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.622 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.854 0.85)
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.488 0.49)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.554 0.55)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Spennymoor
1-0
Hereford
Blackett (90+2')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hereford
3-3
Spennymoor
Ramshaw (14' og.), Barnett (45+1' pen., 49' pen.)
Thewlis (23', 34'), Anderson (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Spennymoor
1-0
Hereford
Thewlis (68')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hereford
0-2
Spennymoor
Taylor (24', 41')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Hereford
0-0
Spennymoor
rhs 2.0
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