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National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 1
Southport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Carver (57')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 4-0 Hereford
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-2 Chorley
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
60.64% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 23.3% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 16.06% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-0.067 -0.07)54.52% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.055 -0.05)75.88% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)48.27% (0.102 0.1)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.75% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (0.022000000000002 0.02)82.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 60.64%
    Southport 16.06%
    Draw 23.29%
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 16.06%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Southport
0-1
Hereford
Holmes (50')
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Hereford
2-0
Southport
Barnett (79' pen.), Jarvis (90+4')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Oliver (51' pen.)
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southport
2-0
Hereford
Archer (52'), Woods (85')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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