Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.