National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field
Aveley2 - 1Tonbridge Angels
Coleman De-Graft (36'), Ogunrinde (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Odokonyero (47' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Tonbridge Angels.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 0-2 Weymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
54
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
42.1% ( 0.06) | 25.25% ( -0.02) | 32.64% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
