National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels1 - 1Aveley
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, November 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Aveley |
42.26% ( 0.12) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.35% ( -0.1) | 51.64% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.57% ( -0.08) | 73.43% ( 0.08) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( 0.02) | 24.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( 0.02) | 58.56% ( -0.03) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -0.14) | 30.43% ( 0.14) |