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National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium
Torquay United

Aveley
2 - 1
Torquay Utd

Odelusi (37'), Hughes (82')
Ring (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ash (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 3-0 Hampton
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Braintree
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawTorquay United
39.32% (0.0039999999999978 0) 26.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 34.32% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.88% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.63% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (0.012 0.01)60.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.61% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 39.32%
    Torquay United 34.32%
    Draw 26.35%
AveleyDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.32%

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