National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City3 - 3Dover Athletic
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dover Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
70.02% ( 0.2) | 18.56% ( -0.15) | 11.41% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( 0.51) | 44.99% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( 0.49) | 67.34% ( -0.49) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( 0.2) | 11.65% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% ( 0.43) | 36.69% ( -0.43) |
Dover Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.95% ( 0.23) | 48.05% ( -0.23) |