Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
