Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 53.65%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
