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Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 1
Weston

FT(HT: 0-1)
Grubb (33')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
30.9% (0.032 0.03) 24.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.99% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.89% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)62.21% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.61% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 30.9%
    Weston-super-Mare 44.86%
    Draw 24.23%
Dover AthleticDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 44.86%

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