Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.